The Determinants of the Low COVID-19 Transmission and Mortality Rates in Africa: A Cross-Country Analysis

This is an interesting study. The authors are: Yagai Bouba, Emmanuel Kagning Tsinda, Maxime Descartes Mbogning Fonkou, Gideon Sadikiel Mmbando, Nicola Luigi Bragazzi and Jude Dzevela Kong. Here is their conclusion:

« In the present study, we found that in Africa, the clinical conditions and health system capacity were predictors of both COVID-19 transmission and fatality, while socio-economic indices were associated only with the risk of COVID-19 transmission. This study complements and adds to the existing studies investigating the possible reasons for the low rates of COVID-19 cases and deaths in Africa and offering a broader picture at the continent level. »

« Our results emphasize the need for Africa to strengthen its overall health system capacity to efficiently detect and respond to COVID-19, as well as to potential future pandemics and outbreaks. Further studies based on the data collected at an individual level are warranted to confirm these observations. Moreover, for a better understanding of COVID- 19 epidemiology across the continent, such studies should also consider the SARS-CoV-2 viral diversity. »

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